Portimonense 0-3 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

Portimonense
0-3 HT 0-1
Uniao De Leiria
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Portimonense vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.26
6+ Goals
7%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 38% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portimonense v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.26/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.77
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +75%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 19.0
– Yellow Cards 2.8

Portimonense vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
The Meetings
21.11.2020 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POK
17.04.2011 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
29.11.2010 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 1-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
28.11.2010 Portimonense Portimonense 1-2 HT 1-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR

Portimonense 0-3 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
0-3
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
0.82 xG 2.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
422 Passes 259
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria swept aside Portimonense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Uniao De Leiria found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Portimonense had 59% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 41%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.82 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Portimonense and 1.25 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Portimonense 0-3 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 39%, draw 32%, Uniao De Leiria 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Portimonense), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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