UD Oliveirense 0-0 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.62/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.19
+21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mafra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 Passes 349
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Mafra Mafra 3-3 HT 2-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
17.12.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-3 HT 0-2 Mafra Mafra POR2
29.01.2023 Mafra Mafra 2-3 HT 0-2 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
06.08.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 0-1 Mafra Mafra POR2
18.04.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
20.12.2020 Mafra Mafra 2-2 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
0-0
AWAY Mafra
1.28 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 197
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense and Mafra played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 54% of the ball to Mafra's 46%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.28 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UD Oliveirense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.83 for Mafra.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Mafra?

UD Oliveirense 0-0 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Oliveirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 38%, draw 27%, Mafra 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Oliveirense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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