Mafra vs UD Oliveirense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mafra v UD Oliveirense — Team-Based Signals
Mafra vs UD Oliveirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Mafra
POR2
2-3
HT 0-2
UD Oliveirense
POR2
3-1
HT 0-1
Mafra
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
2-2
HT 0-0
UD Oliveirense
POR2
1-3
HT 0-1
Mafra
POR2
Mafra 3-3 UD Oliveirense — Actual Match Statistics
Mafra and UD Oliveirense shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mafra had 61% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 39%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.76 to 1.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mafra and 1.67 for UD Oliveirense.
What was the final score of Mafra vs UD Oliveirense?
Mafra 3-3 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mafra vs UD Oliveirense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mafra 39%, draw 28%, UD Oliveirense 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.