Leixoes vs Vilaverdense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leixoes v Vilaverdense — Team-Based Signals
Leixoes vs Vilaverdense Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Leixoes
POR2
5-1
HT 1-0
Vilaverdense
POK
Leixoes 1-3 Vilaverdense — Actual Match Statistics
Vilaverdense beat Leixoes 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Vilaverdense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leixoes had 58% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 42%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.78 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Leixoes and 1.00 for Vilaverdense.
What was the final score of Leixoes vs Vilaverdense?
Leixoes 1-3 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Vilaverdense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 39%, draw 34%, Vilaverdense 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.