Alverca 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.6pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 38%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.61/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.15
+29% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
214 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-1 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR3
29.04.2023 Alverca Alverca 2-0 HT 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
09.04.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-1 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
1-1
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca and Felgueiras 1932 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Alverca had 35% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 65%, shots finished 11-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alverca had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alverca and 0.67 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932?

Alverca 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alverca 35%, draw 34%, Felgueiras 1932 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alverca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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