Varzim 1-1 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

Varzim
1-1 HT 0-0
Atletico CP
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Varzim vs Atletico CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varzim v Atletico CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.88/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.39
-31% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Varzim vs Atletico CP Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-0 HT 2-0 Varzim Varzim POR3

Varzim 1-1 Atletico CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
1-1
AWAY Atletico CP
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim and Atletico CP shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Varzim at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Varzim had 63% of the ball to Atletico CP's 37%, shots finished 22-6.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Atletico CP?

Varzim 1-1 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Varzim 45%, draw 26%, Atletico CP 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varzim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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