Sporting Covilha vs Sporting Braga II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Sporting Braga II — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Sporting Braga II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga II
POR2
1-2
HT 0-1
Sporting Covilha
POR2
4-0
HT 2-0
Sporting Braga II
POR2
3-0
HT 2-0
Sporting Covilha
POR2
Sporting Covilha 1-2 Sporting Braga II — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga II squeezed past Sporting Covilha 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 39% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 61%, shots finished 18-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.67 for Sporting Braga II.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Sporting Braga II?
Sporting Covilha 1-2 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Sporting Braga II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 42%, draw 29%, Sporting Braga II 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.