Atletico CP 2-0 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.24/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.34
+0% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
2-0
AWAY Varzim
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP got the better of Varzim 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Atletico CP made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Atletico CP had 39% of the ball to Varzim's 61%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Varzim?

Atletico CP 2-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 38%, draw 29%, Varzim 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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