Sporting CP II 1-0 Pero Pinheiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
76%
-13.4pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.00/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.17
+8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 2-0 HT 1-0 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro POR3
29.10.2023 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 3-3 HT 1-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
1-0
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Pero Pinheiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II edged past Pero Pinheiro 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 61% of the ball to Pero Pinheiro's 39%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.50 for Pero Pinheiro.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Pero Pinheiro?

Sporting CP II 1-0 Pero Pinheiro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Pero Pinheiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 63%, draw 23%, Pero Pinheiro 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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