Dezembro 1-0 Amora FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Amora FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.49
-61% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Amora FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
08.10.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-0
AWAY Amora FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Amora FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro squeezed past Amora FC 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Dezembro had 41% of the ball to Amora FC's 59%, shots finished 5-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dezembro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dezembro and 0.00 for Amora FC.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Amora FC?

Dezembro 1-0 Amora FC in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Amora FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 39%, draw 24%, Amora FC 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dezembro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dezembro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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