Vianense 1-0 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vianense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 31%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.33/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.86
-75% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vianense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2024 Vianense Vianense 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
01.10.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Vianense Vianense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vianense
1-0
AWAY Sanjoanense
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vianense vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vianense nicked a narrow win over Sanjoanense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vianense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Vianense had 50% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 50%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vianense and 1.50 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Vianense vs Sanjoanense?

Vianense 1-0 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vianense vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vianense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vianense 44%, draw 27%, Sanjoanense 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vianense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vianense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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