Vianense 2-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vianense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 38%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.24/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.22
-81% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vianense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 0-0 Vianense Vianense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vianense
2-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vianense vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vianense squeezed past Sanjoanense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vianense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vianense had 53% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 47%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Vianense vs Sanjoanense?

Vianense 2-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vianense vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vianense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vianense 43%, draw 22%, Sanjoanense 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vianense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vianense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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