Varzim 2-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.82/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.80
-40% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Anadia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Anadia Anadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
14.01.2023 Varzim Varzim 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
17.12.2019 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-1
AWAY Anadia
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim edged past Anadia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 44% of the ball to Anadia's 56%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varzim and 1.67 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Anadia?

Varzim 2-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Varzim 44%, draw 25%, Anadia 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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