Alverca 2-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 17%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.81/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
13 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-4 HT 1-1 Alverca Alverca POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
2-0
AWAY Dezembro
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca beat Dezembro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alverca had 51% of the ball to Dezembro's 49%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Dezembro?

Alverca 2-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alverca 53%, draw 24%, Dezembro 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ BTTS No
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