Academica 3-0 Pero Pinheiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 14%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.79
-46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 1-4 HT 1-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
3-0
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academica vs Pero Pinheiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica swept aside Pero Pinheiro 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Academica had 49% of the ball to Pero Pinheiro's 51%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Academica vs Pero Pinheiro?

Academica 3-0 Pero Pinheiro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Pero Pinheiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Academica 60%, draw 20%, Pero Pinheiro 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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