Sporting CP II 2-0 Pero Pinheiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.6pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+11.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 9%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.21
-10% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 3-3 HT 1-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
2-0
AWAY Pero Pinheiro
74% Ball Possession 26%
25 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Pero Pinheiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II got the better of Pero Pinheiro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 74% of the ball to Pero Pinheiro's 26%, shots finished 25-6.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Pero Pinheiro?

Sporting CP II 2-0 Pero Pinheiro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Pero Pinheiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 65%, draw 16%, Pero Pinheiro 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
27 Jan 2024
18:00 Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Analysis →
18:00 Oliveira Hospital vs Dezembro Analysis →
18:00 Academica vs Atletico CP Analysis →
18:00 Amora FC vs Alverca Analysis →