Academica 2-2 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.07/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-1 Academica Academica POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
2-2
AWAY Atletico CP
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Academica vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica and Atletico CP couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academica had 60% of the ball to Atletico CP's 40%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Academica vs Atletico CP?

Academica 2-2 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Academica 37%, draw 28%, Atletico CP 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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