Amora FC 1-3 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.96
No
42%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
50%
Away Win
64%
-13.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
47%
+11.4pp
42%
BTTS No
53%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca EU Bookmakers 69%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.32/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+11% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Alverca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Alverca Alverca 1-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
17.12.2022 Alverca Alverca 1-1 HT 1-1 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
1-3
AWAY Alverca
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Alverca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca saw off Amora FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alverca as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Amora FC had 57% of the ball to Alverca's 43%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alverca led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amora FC and 1.00 for Alverca.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Alverca?

Amora FC 1-3 Alverca in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Alverca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 24%, draw 25%, Alverca 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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