Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-3
HT 0-2
Caldas
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
Caldas 2-1 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Caldas squeezed past Sporting Covilha 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caldas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Caldas had 63% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 37%, shots finished 7-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Caldas and 1.67 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Caldas 2-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caldas 42%, draw 24%, Sporting Covilha 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldas) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.