Chaves 0-0 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

Chaves
0-0 HT 0-0
Leixoes
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Chaves vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.46
+7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.5 Crosses 20.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Chaves vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Leixoes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.39
58% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
352 Passes 220
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
16.08.2021 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
15.05.2021 Chaves Chaves 3-1 HT 1-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
16.01.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
11.01.2020 Chaves Chaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
30.08.2015 Chaves Chaves 3-0 HT 2-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2

Chaves 0-0 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
0-0
AWAY Leixoes
1.13 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
277 Passes 233
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves and Leixoes played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chaves had 55% of the ball to Leixoes's 45%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaves and 0.67 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Leixoes?

Chaves 0-0 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chaves 40%, draw 31%, Leixoes 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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