Benfica II 2-0 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
1.49/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.37
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Torreense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.77 xG 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
424 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Torreense Torreense 3-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
17.09.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 0-2 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
19.02.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
28.08.2022 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
2-0
AWAY Torreense
2.31 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
350 Passes 277
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II beat Torreense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Benfica II had 55% of the ball to Torreense's 45%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.31 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torreense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Benfica II and 1.75 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Torreense?

Benfica II 2-0 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 41%, draw 30%, Torreense 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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