Elche 2-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jul 2025

Elche
2-1 HT 1-0
Getafe
📅30/07/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 35% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.63
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
11%
6.23
X/2
13%
5.1
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.39
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.7pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.08/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.79
-19% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Getafe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İS1
31.10.2022 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
27.07.2022 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe HAZ
22.05.2022 Elche Elche 3-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
13.09.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS1
21.03.2021 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
2-1
AWAY Getafe
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elche vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche nicked a narrow win over Getafe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Elche made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche had 53% of the ball to Getafe's 47%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elche and 0.67 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Elche vs Getafe?

Elche 2-1 Getafe in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Elche 34%, draw 29%, Getafe 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Getafe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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