30/07/2025
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-0
K-League XI vs Newcastle Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
20%
33%
Draw
17%
33%
Away Win
62%
50%
BTTS Yes
78%
50%
BTTS No
22%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
K-League XI v Newcastle — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
K-League XI
EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY
Newcastle
EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-17% /
-17%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-37%
/
-19%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0
Total Shots
0
0
Shots on Target
0
0
Corners
0
0 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
0 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
K-League XI vs Newcastle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
K-League XI nicked a narrow win over Newcastle 1-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; K-League XI found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of K-League XI vs Newcastle?
K-League XI 1-0 Newcastle in the Friendlies on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for K-League XI vs Newcastle?
Before kick-off our model rated a K-League XI win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split K-League XI 33%, draw 33%, Newcastle 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
30 Jul 2025