Volta Redonda 1-1 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 64%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volta Redonda
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.54 xG 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
372 Passes 382
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2025 Chapecoense Chapecoense 4-2 HT 3-1 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volta Redonda
1-1
AWAY Chapecoense
0.39 xG 0.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
245 Passes 377
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volta Redonda vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volta Redonda and Chapecoense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chapecoense at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Volta Redonda had 41% of the ball to Chapecoense's 59%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.39 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Volta Redonda vs Chapecoense?

Volta Redonda 1-1 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volta Redonda vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Volta Redonda 19%, draw 29%, Chapecoense 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chapecoense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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