CRB 2-0 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-1.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.56/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.33
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
22.9 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Vila Nova
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2025 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
05.09.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
18.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
03.09.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.05.2023 CRB CRB 0-3 HT 0-2 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
23.09.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
2-0
AWAY Vila Nova
1.16 xG 0.28
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
511 Passes 284
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CRB vs Vila Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB got the better of Vila Nova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CRB had 62% of the ball to Vila Nova's 38%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CRB and 1.17 for Vila Nova.

What was the final score of CRB vs Vila Nova?

CRB 2-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split CRB 62%, draw 21%, Vila Nova 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✓ BTTS No
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