Vila Nova 2-0 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Jul 2025

Vila Nova
2-0 HT 1-0
CRB
📅23/07/2025 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Vila Nova vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.54
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.24/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.40
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.5 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1

Vila Nova vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CRB
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
316 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.09.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
18.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
03.09.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.05.2023 CRB CRB 0-3 HT 0-2 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
23.09.2022 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
11.06.2022 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2

Vila Nova 2-0 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
2-0
AWAY CRB
1.37 xG 1.04
28% Ball Possession 72%
13 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
143 Passes 509
66% Pass Accuracy 91%
13 Box Touches 38
18 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova got the better of CRB 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Vila Nova had 28% of the ball to CRB's 72%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 1.37 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vila Nova and 0.50 for CRB.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs CRB?

Vila Nova 2-0 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 41%, draw 29%, CRB 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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