Athletic Club 1-1 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Jul 2025

Athletic Club
1-1 HT 1-1
Coritiba
📅23/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Athletic Club vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.07
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.3pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Club v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.01/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.31
+32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
21.1 Crosses 16.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0

Athletic Club 1-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
1-1
AWAY Coritiba
0.80 xG 0.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
338 Passes 500
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
13 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club and Coritiba shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Club at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Club had 42% of the ball to Coritiba's 58%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.80 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Coritiba?

Athletic Club 1-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 41%, draw 30%, Coritiba 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Club), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
23 Jul 2025
01:00 Operario PR vs Atletico Goianiense Analysis →
02:00 Atletico Paranaense vs Ferroviaria Analysis →
03:35 Vila Nova vs CRB Analysis →