Willem II 1-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Nov 2025

Willem II
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Emmen
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.51
Over Pick
67%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.05
2-3
42%
1.95
4-5
32%
2.62
6+
11%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.66
1/2
2%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
10%
7.47
X/X
12%
6.3
2/1
4%
20.5
2/2
16%
4.76
2/X
5%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 4% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Willem II The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.94 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
1.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.80
Average Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Emmen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 367
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
01.12.2023 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
31.01.2021 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
27.09.2020 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
22.02.2020 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
24.08.2019 Willem II Willem II 2-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
1 - 1
AWAY Emmen
2.15 xG 0.42
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
321 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Willem II vs Emmen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Willem II and Emmen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 50% lean on Willem II didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Emmen saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Willem II against 1.33 for Emmen.

Willem II vs Emmen Result & Final Score

Willem II 1 - 1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Willem II vs Emmen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Willem II 50%, draw 22%, Emmen 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Willem II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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