Ards FC 1-4 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.07
Over 2.5
64%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
16%
9.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+3.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
44%
-8.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
56%
+8.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.25/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.26
-11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.09.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 1-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
05.04.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-5 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
15.03.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
30.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
24.02.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders cruised past Ards FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ards FC and 2.00 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ards FC 1-4 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 30%, draw 20%, Harland & Wolff Welders 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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