Auckland United 3-2 Birkenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.0pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkenhead United EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.75/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/2.03
-68% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auckland United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Birkenhead United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
13 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2022 Birkenhead United Birkenhead United 2-0 HT 1-0 Auckland United Auckland United YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland United
3-2
AWAY Birkenhead United
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Auckland United vs Birkenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland United nicked a narrow win over Birkenhead United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Auckland United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Auckland United had 41% of the ball to Birkenhead United's 59%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Auckland United vs Birkenhead United?

Auckland United 3-2 Birkenhead United in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland United vs Birkenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Auckland United 40%, draw 30%, Birkenhead United 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auckland United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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