Wellington Phoenix Res 1-0 Coastal Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.9
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
24%
Over Pick
76%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%
1.39
No
26%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
12%
2-3
38%
4-5
36%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
18%
2/2
17%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 76%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
49%
+9.2pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.4pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.8pp
74%
BTTS Yes
68%
+6.1pp
26%
BTTS No
32%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix Res EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Coastal Spirit EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix Res
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Coastal Spirit
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
19.10.2024 Wellington Phoenix Res Wellington Phoenix Res 0-3 Coastal Spirit YZLBÖL
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix Res vs Coastal Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix Res edged past Coastal Spirit 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wellington Phoenix Res as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (76%), both teams to score (74%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix Res vs Coastal Spirit?

Wellington Phoenix Res 1-0 Coastal Spirit in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix Res vs Coastal Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix Res win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix Res 58%, draw 17%, Coastal Spirit 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix Res) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix Res) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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