Wellington Phoenix Res 0-3 Coastal Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
36%
4.34
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
3.94
Over
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
34%
4-5
30%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
15%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-1.4pp
36%
Draw
20%
+16.3pp
43%
Away Win
58%
-15.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.5pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.5pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix Res EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Coastal Spirit EU Bookmakers 62%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix Res
0-3
AWAY Coastal Spirit
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix Res vs Coastal Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coastal Spirit cruised past Wellington Phoenix Res 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coastal Spirit as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (65%) missed.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix Res had 50% of the ball to Coastal Spirit's 50%, shots finished 6-28.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix Res vs Coastal Spirit?

Wellington Phoenix Res 0-3 Coastal Spirit in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix Res vs Coastal Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coastal Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix Res 21%, draw 36%, Coastal Spirit 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coastal Spirit), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coastal Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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