Norwich City vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Norwich City v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
Norwich City vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Burnley
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Norwich City
İNCL
2-0
HT 1-0
Burnley
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Norwich City
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Burnley
İNP
1-2
HT 0-0
Norwich City
FAK
Norwich City 1-2 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley edged past Norwich City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Burnley made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Norwich City had 57% of the ball to Burnley's 43%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.07 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Norwich City.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Norwich City and 1.17 for Burnley.
What was the final score of Norwich City vs Burnley?
Norwich City 1-2 Burnley in the England - Championship on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Burnley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 40%, draw 26%, Burnley 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.