Watford 2-1 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 15 Dec 2024

Watford
2-1 HT 1-0
West Bromwich
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Watford vs West Bromwich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.67
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
9%
5.38
X/2
13%
5.81
X/X
15%
4.25
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.1
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Watford v West Bromwich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.38/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.32
+9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.9 Crosses 19.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Watford vs West Bromwich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Watford
2W-4D-0L
AWAY West Bromwich
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
322 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.04.2024 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-2 HT 0-0 Watford Watford İNCL
20.09.2023 Watford Watford 2-2 HT 2-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
20.02.2023 Watford Watford 3-2 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
08.08.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
24.07.2021 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich HAZ
03.03.2018 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP

Watford 2-1 West Bromwich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
2-1
AWAY West Bromwich
1.43 xG 1.39
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
253 Passes 478
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Watford vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Watford edged past West Bromwich 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Watford found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Watford had 36% of the ball to West Bromwich's 64%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.43 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Watford and 1.17 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Watford vs West Bromwich?

Watford 2-1 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Watford 33%, draw 31%, West Bromwich 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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