West Bromwich 2-2 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.69
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.26
X/2
11%
7.43
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
5.87
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.67/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.44
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.6 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Watford
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
274 Passes 353
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2023 Watford Watford 2-2 HT 2-2 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
20.02.2023 Watford Watford 3-2 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
08.08.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-1 HT 1-1 Watford Watford İNCL
24.07.2021 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich HAZ
03.03.2018 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
30.09.2017 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-2 HT 2-1 Watford Watford İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
2-2
AWAY Watford
1.12 xG 1.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
421 Passes 309
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich and Watford shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 56% of the ball to Watford's 44%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.12 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for West Bromwich and 1.50 for Watford.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Watford?

West Bromwich 2-2 Watford in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 44%, draw 28%, Watford 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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