Birmingham 1-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.04
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
14%
6.55
X/X
16%
4.3
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.98
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +43%
1.40/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
-11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.3 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Preston North End
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
239 Passes 204
68% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
21.01.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 1-2 HT 0-2 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
03.09.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
15.01.2022 Preston North End Preston North End 1-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
25.09.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
20.01.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
1-0
AWAY Preston North End
1.42 xG 0.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 0
287 Passes 214
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 16
6 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham squeezed past Preston North End 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Birmingham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Birmingham had 54% of the ball to Preston North End's 46%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.42 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Birmingham and 1.00 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Preston North End?

Birmingham 1-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preston North End win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 34%, draw 30%, Preston North End 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Preston North End) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preston North End) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
1 Apr 2024
14:30 Leicester City vs Norwich City Analysis →
17:00 West Bromwich vs Watford Analysis →
17:00 Coventry vs Cardiff City Analysis →
17:00 Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday Analysis →
17:00 Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →