Swansea City 0-1 Queens Park Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.63
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
14%
5.2
X/2
10%
5.66
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.09
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -27%
1.42/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.21
+7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.5 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
420 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
21.01.2023 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 1-1 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
03.09.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 1-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
07.05.2022 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
25.01.2022 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
20.04.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 0-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
0-1
AWAY Queens Park Rangers
1.44 xG 1.30
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
511 Passes 196
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 21
51 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens Park Rangers nicked a narrow win over Swansea City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Queens Park Rangers made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Swansea City had 69% of the ball to Queens Park Rangers's 31%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.44 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park Rangers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Swansea City and 0.67 for Queens Park Rangers.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Swansea City 0-1 Queens Park Rangers in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 35%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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