Leicester City 3-1 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.95
X/1
10%
4.03
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.65
2/2
12%
7.33
2/X
8%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.84/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.04
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.1 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Norwich City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
431 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 0-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
11.05.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 3-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
28.08.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 1-2 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
28.02.2020 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
14.12.2019 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
27.02.2016 Leicester City Leicester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
3-1
AWAY Norwich City
2.33 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
510 Passes 329
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
51 Box Touches 6
39 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City saw off Norwich City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leicester City had 61% of the ball to Norwich City's 39%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.33 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leicester City and 0.50 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Norwich City?

Leicester City 3-1 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 51%, draw 25%, Norwich City 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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