Coventry 1-2 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

Coventry
1-2 HT 1-1
Cardiff City
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Coventry vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.82
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.2
X/1
18%
3.64
X/2
8%
12.95
X/X
11%
5.89
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
11%
10.35
2/X
6%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coventry v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.56
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.9 Crosses 14.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Coventry vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cardiff City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
419 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.09.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-2 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
29.12.2022 Coventry Coventry 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
15.10.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
15.02.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
15.09.2021 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
13.02.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 3-1 HT 2-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL

Coventry 1-2 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
1-2
AWAY Cardiff City
1.50 xG 1.18
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
468 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City nicked a narrow win over Coventry 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Coventry had 62% of the ball to Cardiff City's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.50 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coventry and 1.33 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Cardiff City?

Coventry 1-2 Cardiff City in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Coventry 52%, draw 24%, Cardiff City 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
1 Apr 2024
14:30 Leicester City vs Norwich City Analysis →
17:00 West Bromwich vs Watford Analysis →
17:00 Birmingham vs Preston North End Analysis →
17:00 Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday Analysis →
17:00 Swansea City vs Queens Park Rangers Analysis →
17:00 Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →