Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

Middlesbrough
2-0 HT 1-0
Sheffield Wednesday
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.39
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
10%
8.39
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
8%
6.31
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middlesbrough v Sheffield Wednesday — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.49/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.46
-24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.9 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 266
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.09.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
24.04.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
29.12.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 HT 2-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
22.07.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-2 HT 1-1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
28.09.2019 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-4 HT 1-4 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
26.12.2018 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL

Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
2-0
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
2.44 xG 0.24
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
567 Passes 281
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough saw off Sheffield Wednesday 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Middlesbrough as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 65% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 35%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.44 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield Wednesday led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.67 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 45%, draw 27%, Sheffield Wednesday 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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