Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.78
X/2
7%
6.37
X/X
13%
4.46
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.65
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.36/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.15
-2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 80%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.2 Crosses 13.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
26.12.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
18.10.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
20.03.2012 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
11.12.2011 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNP
01.01.2011 Sunderland Sunderland 3-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
1-5
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.54 xG 3.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
419 Passes 344
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers cruised past Sunderland 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sunderland at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sunderland had 55% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 45%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.54 to 3.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunderland had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunderland and 1.17 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers?

Sunderland 1-5 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 44%, draw 29%, Blackburn Rovers 27%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sunderland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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