Burgos 0-0 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 15 Dec 2024

Burgos
0-0 HT 0-0
Malaga
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Burgos vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
19%
3.97
X/2
7%
8.44
X/X
19%
4.27
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
8%
7.15
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Malaga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.35
+23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.2 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Burgos vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Malaga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.05 xG 0.91
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
204 Passes 359
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.01.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
14.08.2022 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
21.05.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Burgos Burgos İS2
27.11.2021 Burgos Burgos 3-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2

Burgos 0-0 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
0-0
AWAY Malaga
0.68 xG 0.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
281 Passes 301
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos and Malaga played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burgos had 49% of the ball to Malaga's 51%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.68 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burgos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burgos and 0.25 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Malaga?

Burgos 0-0 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burgos 48%, draw 32%, Malaga 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burgos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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