Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Gijon v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-2
HT 1-1
Sporting Gijon
HAZ
2-2
HT 2-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Racing Ferrol
İS2
3-1
HT 0-1
Racing Ferrol
İS2
Sporting Gijon 1-3 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Ferrol beat Sporting Gijon 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Gijon had 71% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 29%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.63 to 0.79 — on chances, Sporting Gijon could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.33 for Racing Ferrol.
What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol?
Sporting Gijon 1-3 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 51%, draw 28%, Racing Ferrol 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.