Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Gijon v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-2
HT 1-1
Sporting Gijon
HAZ
2-2
HT 2-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Racing Ferrol
İS2
3-1
HT 0-1
Racing Ferrol
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
Sporting Gijon 1-2 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Ferrol squeezed past Sporting Gijon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Gijon had 59% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 41%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.33 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.00 for Racing Ferrol.
What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol?
Sporting Gijon 1-2 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Racing Ferrol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 46%, draw 30%, Racing Ferrol 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.