Burgos vs Albacete Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Albacete — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Albacete Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Albacete
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Albacete
İS2
Burgos 2-1 Albacete — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos nicked a narrow win over Albacete 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burgos had 52% of the ball to Albacete's 48%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.85 to 0.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Burgos's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Albacete.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Albacete?
Burgos 2-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Albacete?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burgos 41%, draw 33%, Albacete 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.