Villarreal II 1-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2024

Villarreal II
1-1 HT 0-1
Huesca
📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Villarreal II vs Huesca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.37
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.73
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
20%
4.99
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
15%
3.52
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
9%
4.48
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.3pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Villarreal II v Huesca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.59/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.20
+35% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
13.8 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Villarreal II vs Huesca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Huesca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.63 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
430 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Huesca Huesca 2-2 HT 0-2 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
26.03.2023 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
05.11.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
16.05.2012 Villarreal II Villarreal II 4-2 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
17.12.2011 Huesca Huesca 1-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
07.05.2011 Huesca Huesca 3-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2

Villarreal II 1-1 Huesca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
1-1
AWAY Huesca
0.80 xG 0.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
512 Passes 209
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II and Huesca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Villarreal II had 67% of the ball to Huesca's 33%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 0.80 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal II and 1.50 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Huesca?

Villarreal II 1-1 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 44%, draw 30%, Huesca 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villarreal II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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