FC Andorra 0-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.29
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.28 — our 38% vs market 37.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.55
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
20%
4.85
X/2
8%
5.92
X/X
17%
3.54
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
14%
4.71
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.18/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.34
-36% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
17.0 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Andorra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.39 xG 2.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
4 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
359 Passes 250
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
7 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 31
09.10.2023 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Andorra
0-1
AWAY Elche
0.66 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Andorra vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche nicked a narrow win over FC Andorra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Andorra at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, FC Andorra had 51% of the ball to Elche's 49%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.66 to 0.74.

What was the final score of FC Andorra vs Elche?

FC Andorra 0-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Andorra vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Andorra 41%, draw 32%, Elche 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Andorra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Andorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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