UD Ibiza 0-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.54/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.18
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-2 HT 2-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
10.12.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
0-1
AWAY Algeciras
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras squeezed past UD Ibiza 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 60% of the ball to Algeciras's 40%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UD Ibiza and 1.00 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Algeciras?

UD Ibiza 0-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 48%, draw 27%, Algeciras 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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