Melilla 3-1 Colonia Moscardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Colonia Moscardo EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.95/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.02
-33% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla saw off Colonia Moscardo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Melilla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo?

Melilla 3-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Melilla 38%, draw 31%, Colonia Moscardo 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5
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