15/12/2024
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
31%
Draw
28%
31%
Away Win
23%
58%
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 2.5
42%
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
50%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melilla v Colonia Moscardo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Melilla
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Colonia Moscardo
EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+45% /
+45%
0.95/0.69
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.68/1.02
-33%
/
+26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+72%
/
+19%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
352 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Melilla saw off Colonia Moscardo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Melilla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo?
Melilla 3-1 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melilla vs Colonia Moscardo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Melilla 38%, draw 31%, Colonia Moscardo 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Melilla)
✗ Under 2.5
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