UCAM Murcia 2-0 Don Benito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Don Benito EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.79/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.41
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Don Benito
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
05.01.2020 Don Benito Don Benito 1-3 HT 0-2 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
2-0
AWAY Don Benito
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Don Benito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia saw off Don Benito 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 58% of the ball to Don Benito's 42%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Don Benito?

UCAM Murcia 2-0 Don Benito in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Don Benito?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 56%, draw 25%, Don Benito 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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